Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.067935 0.080686 0.094999 0.112231 0.132390 0.155202 0.182949
2025-03-16 0.047336 0.063364 0.083430 0.110291 0.145194 0.188883 0.247581
2025-03-23 0.037254 0.054724 0.078516 0.113054 0.161633 0.227204 0.322037
2025-03-30 0.029592 0.047016 0.072485 0.112037 0.171433 0.256712 0.387661
2025-04-06 0.023761 0.040471 0.066466 0.109295 0.177380 0.280488 0.447167
2025-04-13 0.019211 0.034873 0.060661 0.105484 0.180484 0.299609 0.501193
2025-04-20 0.016718 0.032130 0.058827 0.107489 0.192679 0.333771 0.582266
2025-04-27 0.014523 0.029453 0.056577 0.108262 0.202627 0.365081 0.661926
2025-05-04 0.012686 0.027073 0.054411 0.108724 0.211859 0.395921 0.743923
2025-05-11 0.011292 0.025284 0.053018 0.110313 0.223159 0.431388 0.837691
2025-05-18 0.010354 0.024249 0.052895 0.114253 0.239253 0.477098 0.954796
2025-05-25 0.008840 0.021692 0.049288 0.110645 0.240052 0.494140 1.019723
2025-06-01 0.007829 0.020103 0.047518 0.110713 0.248518 0.527365 1.120640
2025-06-08 0.006824 0.018340 0.045097 0.109031 0.253143 0.553561 1.210725
2025-06-15 0.006258 0.017539 0.044714 0.111809 0.267660 0.601418 1.350030
2025-06-22 0.005535 0.016191 0.042824 0.110811 0.273620 0.631894 1.456031
2025-06-29 0.004818 0.014714 0.040377 0.108099 0.275254 0.653125 1.544259
2025-07-06 0.004151 0.013235 0.037674 0.104328 0.273847 0.667374 1.618443
2025-07-13 0.003825 0.012672 0.037262 0.106312 0.286617 0.715058 1.772969
2025-07-20 0.003485 0.011995 0.036433 0.107078 0.296435 0.756883 1.918165
2025-07-27 0.003171 0.011335 0.035540 0.107535 0.305511 0.797867 2.065481
2025-08-03 0.002927 0.010850 0.035074 0.109107 0.317703 0.847655 2.238941
2025-08-10 0.002776 0.010647 0.035407 0.113006 0.336629 0.916050 2.464770